Current implied probability
Yes 78%
Yes 78%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityTraders
5
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Yoweri Museveni's son succeed him as President of Uganda?
Manifold MarketsLula to finish his presidential term?
FutuurEmmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France?
FutuurBernardo Arévalo to finish his presidential term in Guatemala?
FutuurJosé Antonio Kast to finish his presidential term in Chile?
FutuurDonald Trump claims he intends to write a memoir about second presidential term by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
This event predicts whether Yoweri Museveni will remain in office as President of Uganda through the day the 2031 Ugandan presidential election takes place.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official communications from the Government of Uganda and the Electoral Commission of Uganda confirming who holds the presidency and the official date of the 2031 election.
- If Yoweri Museveni remains President of Uganda through the day the 2031 election is held, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If the 2031 election is suspended for political reasons, this market will resolve based on whether Museveni is President of Uganda on February 1, 2031.
- If official sources are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.
