Current implied probability
Yes 87%
Yes 87%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$986.8
Low liquidityTraders
6
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
This event predicts whether Alexander Lukashenko will remain in office as President of Belarus through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Belarusian government announcements or records confirming the presidency.
- If Alexander Lukashenko officially remains President of Belarus through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If he resigns, is removed, or is replaced before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the official announcement.
- If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.
