Will the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceed 4% in September 2026?
8.0 pts (24h)MonthlyInflationMacro & Economy1moForecastExLimited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityYes 96%
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$40
Liquidity
$100
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceed 4.8% in September 2026?
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ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceed 3% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceed 3.6% in September 2026?
ForecastExRules
US Producer Price Index September 2026.
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceed 4% in September 2026? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+17.0pt80.2%
- No change-18.0pt18.8%
- 50+ bps increase-0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $123M
- 24h Vol
- $10.8M
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+14.5pt85%
- September Meeting+17.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+8.0pt87.1%
- No-8.0pt12.9%
- Total Vol
- $9M
- 24h Vol
- $140.5K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-4.5pt46.4%
- 2 (50 bps)-1.5pt32%
- 3 (75 bps)+5.9pt11.3%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause-17.0pt18.8%
- Pause–Pause–Cut+0.1pt1%
- Cut–Pause–Pause-0.8pt0%
+6 more outcomes
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- How high will CPI get this year?
- Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- Core PCE MoM - August 2026
- How high will inflation get this year?
- PPI YoY in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceed 4% in September 2026??
- ForecastEx prices Yes at 96% as of September 11, 2026.
- When does Will the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceed 4% in September 2026? resolve?
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceed 4% in September 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 15, 2026.
- How is Will the year-over-year change in the US Producer Price Index exceed 4% in September 2026? settled?
- ForecastEx settles this market as follows: US Producer Price Index September 2026.