Geopolítica

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

2.0 pt (24h)2m

March 31-2.0pt64%

December 31-3.6pt41%

November 30-4.0pt30%

+22 resultados más

Calidad media (≤74)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total45,2 M US$

Volumen 24h526,5 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

0.8 pt (24h)2m

October 29+0.1pt100%

October 30+0.1pt100%

October 31+0.8pt100%

+39 resultados más

Calidad media (≤74)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total42 M US$

Volumen 24h567,4 mil US$

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

2.3 pt (24h)2m

October 31+2.3pt99%

November 2+4.2pt96%

November 4+2.0pt88%

+19 resultados más

Calidad media (≤74)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total32 M US$

Volumen 24h560,3 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

2m

Sí17.8%

No82.2%

Referencia CoinRithmNo82%· 1 pt de dispersion entre venues

Alta calidad (88)Spread estrechoAlta liquidez

Volumen total76,1 M US$

Volumen 24h67,5 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?

2.0 pt (24h)2m

December 31-2.0pt7%

+10 resultados más

Calidad media (≤74)Spread estrechoAlta liquidez

Volumen total77,1 M US$

Volumen 24h53,9 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

1.0 pt (24h)2m

Sí5%-1.0pt

No95%+1.0pt

Alta calidad (91)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total28,9 M US$

Volumen 24h123,6 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

0.3 pt (24h)2m

Sí2%-0.3pt

No98%+0.3pt

Referencia CoinRithmNo98%· 0 pt de dispersion entre venues

Alta calidad (90)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total45,5 M US$

Volumen 24h61,1 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

2m

Sí11.9%

No88.1%

Referencia CoinRithmNo88%· 1 pt de dispersion entre venues

Alta calidad (88)Spread estrechoAlta liquidez

Volumen total16,1 M US$

Volumen 24h85,4 mil US$

POLYMARKET

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?

1.0 pt (24h)2m

December 31-1.0pt14%

November 30-3.0pt9%

+7 resultados más

Calidad media (55)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidez

Volumen total20,9 M US$

Volumen 24h42,6 mil US$

POLYMARKET

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

2m

December 3116%

November 30-1.0pt7%

November 15-0.9pt4%

+5 resultados más

Calidad media (55)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidez

Volumen total13 M US$

Volumen 24h67,3 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?

2.0 pt (24h)2m

December 31+2.0pt8%

+6 resultados más

Calidad media (≤74)Spread estrechoAlta liquidez

Volumen total18,5 M US$

Volumen 24h28,1 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?

1.0 pt (24h)8m

December 31,-1.0pt70%

November 30,68%

October 31,65%

+15 resultados más

Calidad media (59)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total10,2 M US$

Volumen 24h49,4 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?

0.1 pt (24h)2m

December 3112%

November 30-0.5pt6%

October 31+0.1pt0%

+10 resultados más

Calidad media (≤74)Spread estrechoAlta liquidez

Volumen total17,8 M US$

Volumen 24h13,4 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?

1.0 pt (24h)2m

December-1.0pt53%

March24%

December 31-2.0pt12%

+3 resultados más

Calidad media (56)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total3,3 M US$

Volumen 24h58,8 mil US$

POLYMARKET

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?

2.8 pt (24h)2m

December 31-6.5pt33%

November 30-6.5pt27%

November 2-2.8pt6%

+7 resultados más

Calidad media (≤74)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total3 M US$

Volumen 24h60,9 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Iran full airspace closure by which date?

0.5 pt (24h)2m

December 31+0.5pt37%

November 30-0.5pt27%

+10 resultados más

Calidad media (73)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total10,8 M US$

Volumen 24h14,9 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

3.8 pt (24h)2d

No Hormuz Agreement+3.8pt95%

D-2.1pt3%

R-1.0pt2%

Alta calidad (86)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total1,8 M US$

Volumen 24h45 mil US$

POLYMARKET

US-Iran nuclear deal?

4.0 pt (24h)4h

Before Jan 20, 2029+4.0pt43%

Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt37%

Before Mar 1, 2027-2.0pt20%

+6 resultados más

Calidad media (58)Spread desconocidoInterés abierto altoAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total7,7 M US$

Volumen 24h7,1 mil US$

KALSHI

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?

7.5 pt (24h)2m

November 30+7.5pt88%

December 31+1.0pt51%

+9 resultados más

Calidad media (71)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total2,6 M US$

Volumen 24h19,5 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

1a

Sí9.9%

No90.1%

Alta calidad (83)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total3,6 M US$

Volumen 24h12,2 mil US$

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

4.0 pt (24h)2d

Sí94.1%+4.0pt

No5.9%-4.0pt

Alta calidad (80)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total1,8 M US$

Volumen 24h24,9 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?

4.5 pt (24h)2m

December 31,-4.5pt42%

November 30,-12.0pt25%

+4 resultados más

Calidad media (52)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total1,1 M US$

Volumen 24h42,6 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

0.5 pt (24h)29d

Sí5.9%-0.5pt

No94.1%+0.5pt

Alta calidad (85)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total1,1 M US$

Volumen 24h27,7 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

3.0 pt (24h)2m

Ilhan Omar-3.0pt43%

John Brennan+4.0pt25%

Dan J. Sullivan20%

+42 resultados más

Calidad media (≤74)Spread estrechoInterés abierto altoAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total2,2 M US$

Volumen 24h11,7 mil US$

KALSHI

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

2m

Christopher Luxon43%

Pedro Sánchez19%

Benjamin Netanyahu-1.0pt18%

+32 resultados más

Calidad media (≤74)Spread moderadoInterés abierto altoAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total4 M US$

Volumen 24h5,8 mil US$

KALSHI

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?

0.8 pt (24h)2m

December 31-3.0pt79%

November 30-7.5pt68%

October 31-0.8pt0%

+3 resultados más

Calidad media (50)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidez

Volumen total2,2 M US$

Volumen 24h10,2 mil US$

POLYMARKET

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by which date?

83.3 pt (24h)2m

December 31+23.1pt98%

October 31+83.3pt98%

Calidad media (≤74)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total163,3 mil US$

Volumen 24h132,5 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Iran Nuke before 2027?

0.2 pt (24h)2m

Sí4%-0.2pt

No96%+0.2pt

Alta calidad (82)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total1,5 M US$

Volumen 24h6,3 mil US$

POLYMARKET

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

0.7 pt (24h)2m

Sí4%-0.7pt

No96%+0.7pt

Alta calidad (81)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total1,4 M US$

Volumen 24h5,5 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by which date?

3.0 pt (24h)2m

December 31-3.0pt23%

October 31-1.1pt0%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (72)Spread estrechoAlta liquidez

Volumen total632,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h11,1 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Russia military action against EU country by which date?

2.0 pt (24h)1a

202722%

2026-2.0pt7%

+1 resultados más

Calidad media (69)Spread moderadoAlta liquidez

Volumen total323,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h15,2 mil US$

POLYMARKET

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?

0.1 pt (24h)2m

December 31-0.1pt3%

+6 resultados más

Calidad media (72)Spread estrechoAlta liquidez

Volumen total29,7 M US$

Volumen 24h3,2 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by which date?

3.6 pt (24h)29d

November 3036%

October 31-3.6pt1%

+1 resultados más

Calidad media (72)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total469,5 mil US$

Volumen 24h6,4 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

3.0 pt (24h)2d

Above 170+3.0pt98%

Above 15098%

Above 16097%

+8 resultados más

Calidad media (70)Spread moderadoInterés abierto altoCerca de la resolución

Volumen total162,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h13,7 mil US$

KALSHI

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

9.5 pt (24h)8m

DeepSeek26%

Moonshot AI19%

Xiaomi-9.5pt12%

+1 resultados más

Calidad media (70)Spread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total189,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h9,3 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?

1.5 pt (24h)2m

December 31+1.5pt14%

+13 resultados más

Baja calidad (44)Spread desconocidoLiquidez media

Volumen total7,5 M US$

Volumen 24h4 mil US$

POLYMARKET

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

8.0 pt (24h)2m

Sí10%-8.0pt

No90%+8.0pt

Calidad media (74)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total299,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h5,2 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?

5.0 pt (24h)1m

No Meeting by December 31+5.0pt56.4%

Qatar-9.1pt17.8%

Turkey-0.3pt5%

+16 resultados más

Alta calidad (83)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total218 mil US$

Volumen 24h7,2 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)

10.0 pt (24h)2m

December 31+10.0pt37%

November 30+3.5pt24%

October 31-0.1pt1%

Calidad media (73)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total75 mil US$

Volumen 24h15,9 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

0.1 pt (24h)2m

Sí3%-0.1pt

No97%+0.1pt

Referencia CoinRithmNo97%· 0 pt de dispersion entre venues

Alta calidad (78)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total11 M US$

Volumen 24h1,1 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?

0.8 pt (24h)2m

December 31-0.8pt4%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (69)Spread estrechoAlta liquidez

Volumen total7,8 M US$

Volumen 24h1,4 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

12.0 pt (24h)2m

December 31-12.0pt37%

November 30-12.5pt27%

November 15-13.0pt14%

+4 resultados más

Calidad media (73)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total109,8 mil US$

Volumen 24h5,4 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

2.5 pt (24h)2m

Sí9%+2.5pt

No91%-2.5pt

Alta calidad (79)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total2,1 M US$

Volumen 24h4,3 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

2m

Ishaq Dar43%

Abbas Araghchi-1.0pt41%

Jared Kushner-3.0pt40%

+25 resultados más

Calidad media (63)Spread amplioAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total2 M US$

Volumen 24h3,1 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

6.5 pt (24h)2m

Somaliland-6.5pt11%

Jordan+0.5pt8%

Qatar+1.9pt7%

+9 resultados más

Calidad media (74)Spread estrechoAlta liquidez

Volumen total1,8 M US$

Volumen 24h2,8 mil US$

POLYMARKET

US strike on Colombia by which date?

3.0 pt (24h)2m

December 31+3.0pt21%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (67)Spread estrechoAlta liquidez

Volumen total2,3 M US$

Volumen 24h1,8 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

6.0 pt (24h)9d

Above 15-6.0pt93%

Above 2075%

Above 2364%

+6 resultados más

Calidad media (68)Spread estrechoInterés abierto medioCerca de la resolución

Volumen total16,5 mil US$

Volumen 24h16,4 mil US$

KALSHI

Houthis enter Aden by which date?

0.5 pt (24h)2m

December 3117%

November 30-0.5pt8%

October 31-0.5pt0%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (74)Spread estrechoAlta liquidez

Volumen total742,5 mil US$

Volumen 24h4,8 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Criptoactivos Relacionados

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?

Iran full airspace closure by which date?

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by which date?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by which date?

Russia military action against EU country by which date?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by which date?

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?

Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

US strike on Colombia by which date?

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

Houthis enter Aden by which date?

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