KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualBefore January 21, 2029 23%
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
26 mil €
Liquidez
480,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
26.0% / 29.0%
Spread
11.5%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 24 minutos
9 ene 25, 18:0021 ene 29, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before January 21, 202923%
Comparar plataformas· Before January 21, 2029
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general82% de coincidencia · vinculado | Alta | 96% | — | 14,3 mil € | 207,9 mil € | hace 4 minutos | Abrir → |
| Kalshi82% de coincidencia · vinculado | Alta | 16% | — | 196,8 € | 717,7 mil € | hace 24 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta páginaMás activa | Media | 23% | — | 26 mil € | 480,4 mil € | hace 24 minutos | |
 Limitless82% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 95% | — | 0 € | 0 € | hace 24 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets82% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 94% | — | — | — | hace 5 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets78% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 95% | — | — | — | hace 38 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets82% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 91% | — | — | — | ayer | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5m
96%
4%
100 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total30,8 M €
Volumen 24h14,3 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Kalshi
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
5m
16%
6%
0%
83 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidez
Volumen total4,4 M €
Volumen 24h196,8 €
KALSHITambién disponible en Limitless
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5m
94.6%
5.5%
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total22 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
2a
91%
9%
Pronóstico comunitario1259 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5m
94.1%
5.9%
Pronóstico comunitario13 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
2a
95.3%
4.7%
Pronóstico comunitario41 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.3k95.4%POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPaperhace 7 d
POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPaperhace 7 d$1.1k93.3%KALSHIBefore 2027 — Nohace 17 d
KALSHIBefore 2027 — Nohace 17 d$1.5k95.4%POLYMARKETNoNxbYidhace 23 d
POLYMARKETNoNxbYidhace 23 dTendencia de volumen
$29.6k2 jul25d de datos26 jul
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If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.