KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualD-House, D-Senate 46%+3.0%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
100 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
54,3 mil €
Liquidez
4,5 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
45.0% / 46.0%
Spread
2.2%
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
11 dic 25, 15:001 feb 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
D-House, D-Senate46%
Comparar plataformas· D-House, D-Senate
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 46% | — | 54,3 mil € | 4,5 M € | hace 8 minutos | |
 Polymarket82% de coincidencia · verificado | Alta | 44% | — | 10,4 mil € | 824,3 mil € | hace 14 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets82% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 44% | — | — | — | hace 2 horas | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets85% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 44% | — | — | — | hace 8 horas | Abrir → |
 PredictIt85% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 41% | — | — | — | hace 7 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en PredictIt
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
41%
38%
23%
+1 resultados más
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
3m
-0.3%42.4%
+0.2%43.8%
0.8%
+2 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario99 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Polymarket
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
0.5%3m
44%
41%
+0.5%14%
+2 resultados más
89 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total7,5 M €
Volumen 24h10,4 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
3m
-0.3%42.4%
+0.1%12.1%
0.8%
+2 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario128 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: House Control uses CONTROL, Senate Control uses CONTROL.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Republican, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$61.9k2 jul12d de datos13 jul
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If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: House Control uses CONTROL, Senate Control uses CONTROL.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Republican, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.