US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

9.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics Geopolítica Middle East1m

PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Probabilidad implícita actual

August 31 60%+16.5%

Líder entre 5 opciones

Calidad del mercado

89 / 100

Alta calidad

Volumen 24h

122,6 mil €

Liquidez

118,6 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venta

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Spread moderado

Cambio 7d

+8.5%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 17 minutos

13 jul 26, 18:0431 ago 26, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

July 24

July 14

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

August 3160%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.

Operaciones grandes

$18.0k89.0%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — NoFruitful-Succotashayer

$1.0k13.1%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — YesSolid-Airfareanteayer

$2.0k69.1%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoArman2hace 3 d

$3.9k94.4%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.123hace 5 d

$2.4k93.7%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.123hace 5 d

$3.6k63.9%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoRequired-Spithace 11 d

$1.5k91.0%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — NoCal800hace 11 d

Tendencia de volumen

$139.5k

13 jul14d de datos26 jul

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Reglas

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

9.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics Geopolítica Middle East1m

PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Probabilidad implícita actual

August 31 60%+16.5%

Líder entre 5 opciones

Calidad del mercado

89 / 100

Alta calidad

Volumen 24h

122,6 mil €

Liquidez

118,6 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venta

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Spread moderado

Cambio 7d

+8.5%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 17 minutos

13 jul 26, 18:0431 ago 26, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

July 24

July 14

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

August 3160%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.

Operaciones grandes

$18.0k89.0%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — NoFruitful-Succotashayer

$1.0k13.1%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — YesSolid-Airfareanteayer

$2.0k69.1%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoArman2hace 3 d

$3.9k94.4%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.123hace 5 d

$2.4k93.7%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.123hace 5 d

$3.6k63.9%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoRequired-Spithace 11 d

$1.5k91.0%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — NoCal800hace 11 d

Tendencia de volumen

$139.5k

13 jul14d de datos26 jul

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Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

123,3 €

Sí: 7%

POLYMARKET

If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?

43,9 €

Sí: 49.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

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0 €

Sí: 7.2%

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Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

988,1 €

Sí: 8.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$64,504.22+0.56%

EthereumETH$1,886.44+1.39%

SolanaSOL$75.13+1.20%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0734+5.51%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.75%

BNBBNB$571.35+0.95%

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White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News

Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News

Reglas

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.