US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
0.1 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolíticaMiddle East3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 49.6%-0.1ptLíder entre 20 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
83 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
191,4 mil €
Liquidez
555,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.4 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
571
Cambio 7d
-2.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
13 jul 26, 18:04 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by which date?
PolymarketUS announces military base in Israel in 2026?
PolymarketUS announces another yen intervention by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran suffer an oil blockade, and will the regime fall this year?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China blockade Taiwan during 2026?
FutuurReglas
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
- A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.
