US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? [Polymarket]
6.8 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.GeopolíticaOriente Medio2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOctober 31 2.2%-6.8ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-7.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado9 sept 26, 12:42 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket: US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket rules: On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
