Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
4.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaElecciónMiddle EastChessDeportes1a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualGadi Eizenkot 43.1%+1.0ptLíder entre 18 opciones
Calidad del mercado
50 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
302,5 €
Liquidez
36,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
6.0% / 11.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
11 abr 26, 0:0027 oct 27, 14:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Naftali Bennett12%
Comparar plataformas· Gadi Eisenkot
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general83% de coincidencia · verificado | Alta | 52% | -3pt | 207 mil € | 1,5 M € | hace 11 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Media | 53% | -2pt | 302,5 € | 36,3 mil € | hace 11 minutos | |
 Futuur68% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 55% | 0pt | 0 € | 3,1 mil € | hace 11 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless83% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 50% | -5pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 11 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets83% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 46% | -9pt | — | — | hace 37 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets78% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 51% | -4pt | — | — | hace 10 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets83% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 48% | -7pt | — | — | hace 10 días | Abrir → |
 PredictIt69% de coincidencia · auto | — | 3% | -52pt | — | — | hace 11 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
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Volumen total26,6 M €
Volumen 24h207 mil €
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18.3%
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15%
9%
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Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITTambién disponible en Futuur
Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
2m
55.6%
35.4%
9.1%
37 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total964 €
Volumen 24h0 €
FUTUURReglas
If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- If Naftali Bennett becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
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If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- If Naftali Bennett becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.