Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
2.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección3d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
None · —
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Referencia guardada
None 23.7%Líder entre 128 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
None 23.7%Calidad del mercado
≤89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
12,9 M €
Liquidez
97,9 M €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
1,6 M US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
NoneSpread
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Comentarios
5
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
26 oct 26, 22:21 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
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Profundidad de mercado · None
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
- Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins.
- An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market.
- A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027.
- A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.