Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
30.4 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección3d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualOther 32.8%+30.4ptLíder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+30.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
31 oct 26, 9:24 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
- Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins.
- An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market.
- A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027.
- A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
