Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónGeopolíticaOriente Medio23d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
No Hormuz Agreement · —
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Libro recibido (no hora de cotización del mercado): —
Referencia guardada
No Hormuz Agreement 82.2%Líder entre 3 opciones
No Hormuz Agreement 82.2%Calidad del mercado
92 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
67,4 mil €
Liquidez
940,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
— / —
No Hormuz AgreementSpread
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Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
11 oct 26, 18:01 UTC4 nov 26, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
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- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Profundidad de mercado · No Hormuz Agreement
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Libro recibido (no hora de cotización del mercado): —
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Hormuz Agreement; R Senate" if a Hormuz Agreement is announced by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- This market will resolve to "Hormuz Agreement; D Senate" if a Hormuz Agreement is announced by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- This market will resolve to "the named outcome" immediately if a Hormuz Agreement is not announced by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Hormuz Agreement: A "Hormuz Agreement" will be considered to have occurred if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is announced by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran.
- A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.