PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualJuly 18 100%+0.3%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
100 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
948,2 mil €
Liquidez
339,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
76.0% / 77.0%
Spread
1.3%
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-4.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
16 jul 26, 23:1131 ago 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
July 2399%
Operaciones grandes
$4.3k94.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesNeon-Gargoylehace 5 min
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesNeon-Gargoylehace 5 min$1.3k71.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? — YesDistant-Inhibitorhace 3 h
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? — YesDistant-Inhibitorhace 3 h$2.9k95.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesCaptainCoinfliphace 3 h
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesCaptainCoinfliphace 3 h$2.4k24.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — Nonishekgrainihace 7 h
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — Nonishekgrainihace 7 h$1.0k25.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — No8dcc906a9bhace 9 h
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — No8dcc906a9bhace 9 h$3.8k75.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — YesSkinny-Classhace 12 h
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — YesSkinny-Classhace 12 h$1.4k88.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesRequired-Spithace 15 h
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesRequired-Spithace 15 h$1.6k29.7%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — Nonishekgrainihace 15 h
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — Nonishekgrainihace 15 hTendencia de volumen
$1.1M17 jul8d de datos24 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Iran full airspace closure by which date?
233,1 mil €August 31: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
192,5 mil €August 31: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran invades Kuwait by which date?
150,3 mil €August 31: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
12,4 mil €Before Jan 1, 2027: 18%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,7 mil €Sí: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
1,9 mil €Before Oct 1, 2026: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Polymarket odds for US invasion of Iran before 2027 jump to 27.5%Blockchain.News
Polymarket sees 99.85% odds Israel–Iran ceasefire holds through July 18Blockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
- A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.