US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Política de EE. UU.One-OffGeopolíticaOriente MedioElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 2026ElecciónPolítica25d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Sí · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
Libro recibido (no hora de cotización del mercado): —
Referencia guardada
Sí 72.3%
Sí 72.3%Calidad del mercado
85 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
61,3 mil €
Liquidez
99,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
— / —
SíSpread
—
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 minutos
9 oct 26, 1:16 UTC4 nov 26, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Profundidad de mercado · Sí
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
Libro recibido (no hora de cotización del mercado): —
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWill Bitcoin hit $95,000 before a formal US-Iran ceasefire is signed?
Manifold MarketsWill Europe find a peaceful agreement with Iran to pass the Strait of Hormuz in 2026 while the US/Iran war continues?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
