KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualZohran Mamdani 28%+3.0%Líder entre 25 opciones
Calidad del mercado
89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
20 mil €
Liquidez
325,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
27.0% / 28.0%
Spread
3.7%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 27 minutos
19 feb 26, 20:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Zohran Mamdani28%
Comparar plataformas· Zohran Mamdani
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 28% | 0pt | 20 mil € | 325,3 mil € | hace 27 minutos | |
 Polymarket71% de coincidencia · verificado | Alta | 32% | +4pt | 768,1 € | 203,9 mil € | hace 7 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets88% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 13% | -15pt | — | — | hace 27 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
5m
-0.8%30.9%
-0.1%13%
+0.9%12.9%
+46 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario207 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Polymarket
TIME Person of the Year 2026
9.5%5m
+9.5%32%
-3.0%20%
+3.5%17%
+19 resultados más
80 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total3,7 mil €
Volumen 24h768,1 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
- Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
- Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$22.8k2 jul25d de datos26 jul
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If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
- Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
- Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.