KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Zohran Mamdani · —
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Precio guardado
Zohran Mamdani 27.5%Líder entre 42 opciones
Zohran Mamdani 27.5%Calidad del mercado
≤74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
6,1 mil €
Interés abierto
924,1 mil US$
Interés abierto altoCompra / Venta
— / —
Zohran MamdaniSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
19 feb 26, 20:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 1h (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Zohran Mamdani
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
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If Zohran Mamdani is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:TIME
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning). Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”. Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005. If Time uses language that does not specifically refer to a person or organization (examples being 2018’s “The Guardians of Truth” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), Kalshi will resolve markets to the most simple meaning reasonable. In those cases, “Journalists” and “the Me Too movement” would resolve to Yes. This does NOT count towards the payout criterion: If there is no Person of the Year (and instead many variations thereof, e.g. Entertainer of the Year, Hero of the Year), that is not encompassed in the Payout Criterion. If “ChatGPT” was the Person of the Year, strikes of “AI” or “LLMs” would resolve to No, since even if they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous (and thus are not explicitly named), and are not persons, so it would not matter if they were identified in the image. Or if “Sam Altman” was the Person of the Year, and the cover showed a person using ChatGPT on their computer, “ChatGPT” would not resolve to Yes because it is not a person. This market and these products have not been endorsed by TIME. Any references to TIME, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between TIME and Kalshi.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Zohran Mamdani
- If Zohran Mamdani is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pope Leo XIV
- If Pope Leo XIV is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mark Carney
- If Mark Carney is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reid Wiseman
- If Reid Wiseman is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI
- If AI is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- If Benjamin Netanyahu is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Abdul El-Sayed
- If Abdul El-Sayed is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dario Amodei
- If Dario Amodei is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donald Trump
- If Donald Trump is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Victor Glover
- If Victor Glover is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Christina Koch
- If Christina Koch is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Elon Musk
- If Elon Musk is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sam Altman
- If Sam Altman is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- James Talarico
- If James Talarico is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jeremy Hansen
- If Jeremy Hansen is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mojtaba Khamenei
- If Mojtaba Khamenei is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bad Bunny
- If Bad Bunny is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lionel Messi
- If Lionel Messi is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Xi Jinping
- If Xi Jinping is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hakeem Jeffries
- If Hakeem Jeffries is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jon Ossoff
- If Jon Ossoff is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Taylor Swift
- If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jerome Powell
- If Jerome Powell is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Shehbaz Sharif
- If Shehbaz Sharif is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marco Rubio
- If Marco Rubio is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
- If Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alysa Liu
- If Alysa Liu is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ChatGPT
- If ChatGPT is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Péter Magyar
- If Péter Magyar is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bernie Sanders
- If Bernie Sanders is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Steve Witkoff
- If Steve Witkoff is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Christopher Nolan
- If Christopher Nolan is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast
- If James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Chris Wright
- If Chris Wright is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- JD Vance
- If JD Vance is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Erika Kirk
- If Erika Kirk is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jared Kushner
- If Jared Kushner is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh
- If Kevin Warsh is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hegseth
- If Pete Hegseth is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Andy Burnham
- If Andy Burnham is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Susie Wiles
- If Susie Wiles is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 28%
- También disponible en Futuur — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 35%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? · Zohran Mamdani 25%
