Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualZohran Mamdani 25.5%Líder entre 50 opciones
Pronosticadores
280
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado30 nov 25, 19:39 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
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PolymarketReglas
This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year.
- It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.
- If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.
- In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 27%
- También disponible en Futuur — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 24%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Time's Person of the Year for 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 30%