PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Zohran Mamdani 30%-0.5ptLíder entre 22 opciones
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
575,5 €
Liquidez
438,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
6
Cambio 7d
-4.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
26 may 26, 20:28 UTC31 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
Manifold MarketsWill Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Decade
KalshiWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
- Additionally, the following rules apply:
- If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
- If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Futuur — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 37%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? · Zohran Mamdani 27%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Time's Person of the Year for 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 29%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de TIME Person of the Year 2026?
- Polymarket cotiza Zohran Mamdani al 30% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve TIME Person of the Year 2026?
- Está previsto que TIME Person of the Year 2026 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida TIME Person of the Year 2026?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- ¿Dónde más está listado TIME Person of the Year 2026?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Futuur, Manifold Markets, Kalshi.