JavaScript está desactivado. La navegación principal y las páginas editoriales siguen disponibles, pero los widgets de mercado en vivo, los gráficos, la búsqueda y las funciones de personalización pueden verse limitados.

Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026?

EntretenimientoYearly7m

Manifold MarketsSin KYC

Pronóstico comunitario actual

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99%

Líder entre 11 opciones

Pronosticadores

38

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 6 minutos

14 ene 26, 16:1630 ene 27, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie99%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”

Mercados Relacionados

Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce be married this year?

Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce be married this year?

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

Zohran Mamdani: 40%

Manifold Markets

Who Will play Carl in the video adaptation of Dungeon Crawler Carl?

Chris Pratt: 11.6%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Manifold Markets

Will Alan Moore ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?

Taylor Swift: 15%

Manifold Markets

will 2026 bring a offical breakthrough in the Kurt Cobain death investigation?

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,598.88+2.08%

EthereumETH$1,647.62+1.27%

SolanaSOL$64.93+1.49%

HyperliquidHYPE$55.64+0.33%

XRPXRP$1.11+0.30%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.55%

Noticias Relacionadas

Chris Jericho to Join and Co-Create Official Community Traits for Kokopi Koalas™ NFT CollectionBlockchain Reporter

Reglas

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”