Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualThe Super Mario Galaxy Movie 100%Líder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores
50
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 53 minutos
Retrasado14 ene 26, 16:16 UTC30 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?
PolymarketWill the movie "The Legend of Zelda" (2027) gross more than a billion dollars at the worldwide box office?
Manifold MarketsWill Grand Theft Auto 6 make more than $1.2 billion within 24 hours of it's release?
Manifold MarketsWill an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?
Manifold MarketsWill a single person make a billion dollars utilizing AI tools before 2030?
Manifold Markets#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
- Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
- If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
- In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”