Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 22 jul 2026, 5:20 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Pronóstico comunitario actualVance (R) defeats Newsom (D) 5.7%-0.3%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
30
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado15 oct 25, 3:317 nov 28, 6:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Vance (R) defeats Newsom (D)6%
Tendencia de volumen
$3317 jul2d de datos22 jul
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Each option requires that the listed candidate both be nominated by their respective party and then win the election.
- This is a derivative market, and will resolve according to these underlying markets:
- @/EvanDaniel/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20-zA926yNPOA
- @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf
- @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-757313dd0344
- Update 2025-10-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Independent or 3rd party wins are included in the "Other" option.