Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 5:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualIn Office 70.8%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado15 jul 26, 14:19 UTC4 nov 27, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official status of Donald Trump on November 4, 2027, at 12:00 AM Eastern Time (ET).
- Exactly one of the following options will resolve YES, and all other options will resolve NO:
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is the sitting President of the United States.
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is no longer the named outcome, and his departure was caused by his death.
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is no longer the named outcome, and his departure was due to conviction following impeachment by the Senate or permanent removal via Section 4 of the 25th Amendment.
