KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 55%
Calidad del mercado
81 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
204,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
45.0% / 46.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
16 dic 25, 16:00 UTC1 feb 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
- This market will resolve based on the composition of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate on February 1, 2027.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 45%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 6 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 45% · 2 plataformas · 6 pt de dispersion entre venues
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 193,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Volumen total
- 29,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 506,4 mil €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 resultados más
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 843,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 408 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Blue tsunami in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 55% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Blue tsunami in 2026??
- Está previsto que Blue tsunami in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Blue tsunami in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Blue tsunami in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.