Michigan Senate margin of victory
2.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20261a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
El-Sayed, 1+ pts · —
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Precio guardado
El-Sayed, 1+ pts 63.5%Líder entre 12 opciones
El-Sayed, 1+ pts 63.5%Calidad del mercado
≤74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
15,8 mil €
Interés abierto
377,5 mil US$
Interés abierto altoCompra / Venta
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El-Sayed, 1+ ptsSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
28 abr 26, 1:02 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · El-Sayed, 1+ pts
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Michigan Department of State
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed. If the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Reglas de cada resultado
- El-Sayed, 1+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- El-Sayed, 2+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- El-Sayed, 3+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- El-Sayed, 4+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- El-Sayed, 5+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- El-Sayed, 6+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- El-Sayed, 7+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- El-Sayed, 8+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- El-Sayed, 9+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- El-Sayed, 13+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- El-Sayed, 11+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- El-Sayed, 15+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
