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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Blue wave in 2026?
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección7m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 68%-2.0%
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

37,6 €

Liquidez

1,2 mil €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

70.0% / 73.0%

Spread

4.3%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 minutos

12 dic 25, 15:001 feb 27, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes68%

PolymarketTambién disponible en Polymarket

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

5m
Sí
Sí
75%
No
No
25%
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total43,1 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Reglas

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
  • All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

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Before Jun 12, 2026: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,732.73+0.71%EthereumETH$1,646.92-0.17%SolanaSOL$65.73+0.69%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+0.33%XRPXRP$1.12-1.05%BNBBNB$599.00+0.62%

Noticias Relacionadas

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Reglas

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
  • All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.