PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 84.2%+1.5pt
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
13 €
Liquidez
11 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
84.0% / 85.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
11
Cambio 7d
+7.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
14 ene 26, 0:53 UTC5 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats have a seat count of 218 or more in the House - Democrats have a seat count of 49 or more in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
- The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 85%.
Referencia CoinRithm 85% · 2 plataformas · 0 pt de dispersion entre venues