PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualSí 74.3%
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
11,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
74.0% / 75.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-1.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
14 ene 26, 0:5330 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes75%
Comparar plataformas· Yes
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general80% de coincidencia · verificado | Alta | 75% | 0pt | 3,8 mil € | 154,6 mil € | hace 14 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Baja | 75% | 0pt | 0 € | 11,2 mil € | hace 14 minutos |
También disponible en Kalshi
Blue wave in 2026?
6m
75%
25%
82 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total276,8 mil €
Volumen 24h3,8 mil €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$582 jul20d de datos24 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf