US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
5.0 pts (24h)Política de EE. UU.One-OffGeopolíticaOriente Medio2m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 39%+5.0ptLíder entre 9 opciones
December 31 39%+5.0ptCalidad del mercado
≤74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
34,2 mil €
Liquidez
165,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
14
Cambio 7d
-9.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
4 ago 26, 2:59 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
August 15Perdida
August 31Perdida
September 15Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
September 30Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran.
- A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
- All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met.
- A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement.
- Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.