PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 8 nov 2026, 21:07 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
December 31 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Referencia guardada
December 31 80%Líder entre 5 opciones
December 31 80%Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
232,5 mil €
Liquidez
312,5 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
108,6 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
December 31Spread
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Comentarios
5
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado8 nov 26, 2:48 UTC31 dic 26, 20:29 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · December 31
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketIsrael x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketUS-Iran effective ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWill Bitcoin hit $95,000 before a formal US-Iran ceasefire is signed?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which dates?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia and/or China get involved with the US/Israel and Iran situation before May begins
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran is completed, where the first day of that period is between market creation and the specified date (Iran Standard Time).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (Iran Standard Time) after the most recent qualifying military action.
- Military actions occurring before market creation are not qualifying military actions.
- Where no qualifying military action has occurred after market creation, the first day of the 14-day period will be the date of market creation (Iran Standard Time).
- The period runs through 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time on the 14th calendar day.
