Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
4.0 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffRusia / Ucrania1a
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Actualizado hace 8 minutos
29 sept 26, 0:13 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict begins by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments.
- Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
- Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
- Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
- The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media.