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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Geopolítica
  3. NATO x Russia military clash by...?
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
December 31
December 31 19%-1.5%
Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado

89 / 100

Alta calidad
Volumen 24h

5,6 mil €

Liquidez

76,7 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

1.6% / 1.7%

Spread

6.3%

Spread moderado
Cambio 7d

-0.5%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

23 sept 25, 20:2231 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
December 31, 2025
December 31, 2025
0%
March 31
March 31
0%

Resultado elegido

December 3119%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between September 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NATO and Russian military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify.
  • Interception of missiles or other one-way attack or loitering munitions (e.g.
  • Shahed drones) which are targeting a 3rd party other than the listed countries or their respective forces will not alone qualify.

Mercados Relacionados

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

38,3 mil €
December 31,: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

17,3 mil €
December 31: 46%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

14,8 mil €
Sí: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

130 €
Sí: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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Which country will build the first Military Space Station?

117 €
USA: 45.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?

65 €
Sí: 13.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,654.97+1.84%EthereumETH$1,653.42+1.25%SolanaSOL$64.97+1.00%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.15%XRPXRP$1.11+0.05%BNBBNB$596.01+1.56%

Noticias Relacionadas

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between September 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NATO and Russian military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify.
  • Interception of missiles or other one-way attack or loitering munitions (e.g.
  • Shahed drones) which are targeting a 3rd party other than the listed countries or their respective forces will not alone qualify.