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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Bitcoin
  3. Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

0.5% (24h)BitcoinOne-Off6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 71%
Calidad del mercado

91 / 100

Alta calidad
Volumen 24h

969,7 €

Liquidez

31,5 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

70.0% / 72.0%

Spread

2.9%

Spread estrecho
Cambio 7d

+3.5%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 2 minutos

6 ene 26, 22:4931 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes71%

Manifold MarketsTambién disponible en Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

Nothing Ever Happens 2026

6m
Manifold Markets
Sí
70%
Manifold Markets
No
30%
Pronóstico comunitario20 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total518,2 €
Volumen 24h2,7 €
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Reglas

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:

Polymarket
  • - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+)
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

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Bitcoin $100k before End of June 2026?

2,2 mil €
Sí: 1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

2 mil €
Sí: 3%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Bitcoin below $55K in 2026?

1,4 mil €
Sí: 61.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

1,1 mil €
Sí: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

935,6 €
Before July 2026: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,699.85+1.89%ChainlinkLINK$7.77+0.30%EthereumETH$1,654.12+1.26%SolanaSOL$65.02+1.09%BNBBNB$596.22+1.56%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.07%

Noticias Relacionadas

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsWintermute warns Bitcoin lacks inflows needed to confirm market bottomCrypto NewsBitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsNot All Bitcoin ETF Inflows Are Equal: CryptoQuant Maps the Real Drivers Behind Institutional MoneyBlockchain ReporterBitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads: BitwiseCointelegraph‘Bitcoin to zero’ searches just hit a record. Could it happen?Crypto News

Reglas

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:

Polymarket
  • - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+)
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf