KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Antes de enero de 2027 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Antes de enero de 2027 19.5%Líder entre 5 opciones
Antes de enero de 2027 19.5%Calidad del mercado
≤74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
24,3 mil €
Interés abierto
2 M US$
Interés abierto altoCompra / Venta
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Antes de enero de 2027Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
17 feb 26, 21:00 UTC1 ene 27, 5:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Before September 2026Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
Antes de octubre de 2026Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 1h (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Antes de enero de 2027
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 02/17/2026 04:00 PM and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before January 2027
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 02/17/2026 04:00 PM and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before December 2026
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting Jul 21, 2026 and before Dec 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before November 2026
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting Jul 21, 2026 and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September 2026
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting Jul 21, 2026 and before Sep 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October 2026
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 02/17/2026 04:00 PM and before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — When Will Bitcoin cross $100,000 again? · Before December 31 11.59pm 2027 est 64%