Europe

Starmer out before July?

19d

Sí

17%

83%

Pronóstico comunitario567 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

Volumen total690,5 mil US$

Volumen 24h10,6 mil US$

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Bank of England decision in June?

2.1%6d

No change

-2.1%96%

25 bps increase

+2.4%4%

25 bps decrease

-0.3%0%

+2 resultados más

91 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total275,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h2,9 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

0.1%6m

December 31,

-3.0%32%

June 30,

-0.1%4%

64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total393,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h1,2 mil US$

POLYMARKET

France United Left Primary Winner

3.5%4m

Canceled

+0.5%49%

Marine Tondelier

+3.5%19%

François Ruffin

-0.4%6%

+22 resultados más

64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total91,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h2,9 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

1.9%6m

December 31

+0.8%98%

June 30

-1.9%34%

May 31

-0.1%0%

64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total480,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h475,2 US$

POLYMARKET

EU dissolves before 2027?

Sí

97%

80 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total170,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h389 US$

POLYMARKET

Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover

11.0%6d

Jover Set 1 O/U 8.5

+12.5%63%

Jover

+11.0%61%

Jover Set 1 Winner

+7.5%57%

+13 resultados más

80 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total1,3 mil US$

Volumen 24h1,3 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

15.5%6m

Sí

-0.1%30%

+0.2%71%

68 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total4,8 mil US$

Volumen 24h3,1 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Sí

22%

79%

72 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoAlta liquidez

Volumen total275,8 mil US$

Volumen 24h129,3 US$

POLYMARKET

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

1.5%18d

Sí

+0.0%88%

-0.0%13%

68 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez media

Volumen total58,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h292,7 US$

POLYMARKET

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

3.5%6m

December 31

-3.5%13%

June 30

-0.7%1%

56 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez

Volumen total163,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h246,1 US$

POLYMARKET

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

1.5%

PSD

+10.3%60%

UDMR

-0.5%53%

PNL

-0.5%29%

+3 resultados más

52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total20,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h736,7 US$

POLYMARKET

ITF Guimaraes: Manon Leonard vs Ana Sofia Sanchez

5.0%6d

Sanchez

+5.0%62%

Sanchez Set 1 O/U 10.5

58%

Sanchez Set 1 Winner

56%

+12 resultados más

79 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total697,4 US$

Volumen 24h697,4 US$

POLYMARKET

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

2.0%18d

Sí

+0.0%10%

-0.0%91%

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total31,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h232 US$

POLYMARKET

Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?

0.1%18d

Sí

98%

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total27,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h133,4 US$

POLYMARKET

Keir Starmer departure announced?

2.0%19d

Before Jul 1, 2026

+2.0%15%

Before Sep 1, 2026

-3.0%61%

Before Aug 1, 2026

39%

+4 resultados más

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total22,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h136,3 US$

KALSHI

Will the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026?

Sí

40.9%

59.1%

Pronóstico comunitario16 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

Volumen total3,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h340,4 US$

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

1.1%18d

Sí

+0.0%6%

-0.0%94%

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total97,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h168,2 US$

POLYMARKET

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

2024

0.3%

2025

2026

75.7%

+5 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario80 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

Volumen total31,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h165,3 US$

MANIFOLD MARKETS

No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026

Sí

93.8%

6.2%

Pronóstico comunitario14 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

Volumen total4,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h2 mil US$

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

1.0%2m

CDU

-1.0%91%

AfD

-0.3%5%

SPD

+0.1%1%

+31 resultados más

83 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total48,8 mil US$

Volumen 24h59 US$

POLYMARKET

Macron out by...?

0.1%19d

December

-0.1%0%

June 30, 2026

-0.1%0%

October

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez media

Volumen total2 M US$

Volumen 24h22,6 US$

POLYMARKET

Which UK party will next take a decisive second place in the polls?

Conservatives

28.4%

Greens

13.7%

Labour

48%

+2 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario12 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

Volumen total2,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h224,8 US$

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

0.1%6m

2026

28%

October 31

-0.2%0%

2025

+2 resultados más

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total323,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h71,5 US$

POLYMARKET

Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?

Sí

13.3%

86.7%

Pronóstico comunitario25 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

Volumen total2 mil US$

Volumen 24h100 US$

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Sí

94%

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total142 mil US$

Volumen 24h5,2 US$

POLYMARKET

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Sí

45%

56%

49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total70,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

Sí

95%

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total22,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h16,5 US$

POLYMARKET

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Sí

95%

71 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total25,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h2,3 US$

POLYMARKET

Will a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027?

Sí

8.4%

91.6%

Pronóstico comunitario9 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

Volumen total571,4 US$

Volumen 24h276,8 US$

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

3.0%6m

Sí

+0.0%19%

-0.0%81%

40 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez media

Volumen total4,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

0.5%18d

December 31

40%

June 30

-0.5%4%

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total71 mil US$

Volumen 24h27,8 US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of England decision in July?

No change

+2.5%77%

25 bps increase

22%

25 bps decrease

+0.9%2%

+2 resultados más

40 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez media

Volumen total4,5 mil US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?

Sí

12%

88%

40 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez media

Volumen total1,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

ECB rate cut in 2026?

Sí

14%

87%

24 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total28,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

7.3%7m

3.1%+

+0.1%59%

<1.0%

-3.1%41%

2.2–2.4%

+32.3%37%

+6 resultados más

28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total13,3 mil US$

Volumen 24h18,4 US$

POLYMARKET

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

0.3%7m

0-1.0%

-0.6%37%

1.0-2.0%

-9.5%34%

6.0-7.0%

-1.5%27%

+6 resultados más

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total8,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h2,4 US$

POLYMARKET

X banned in any European country by December 31?

Sí

32%

69%

28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total10,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h3,4 US$

POLYMARKET

Will Andy Burnham win a majority of the vote in the Makerfield byelection?

Sí

26.2%

73.8%

Pronóstico comunitario37 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

Volumen total4,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h50 US$

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

0.5%6m

Sí

47%

+0.0%54%

24 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total6,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

Will Starmer be in the process of leaving at start of July?

19d

Sí

9.5%

90.5%

Pronóstico comunitario15 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

Volumen total3,3 mil US$

Volumen 24h50 US$

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Reform UK polling collapse in 2026?

Sí

20.2%

79.8%

Pronóstico comunitario24 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

Volumen total2,3 mil US$

Volumen 24h50 US$

MANIFOLD MARKETS

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

1.0%6m

Sí

+0.0%17%

-0.0%84%

40 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez media

Volumen total1,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

What will One Nation's support be on the 1st of July 2026?

19d

Above 35%

7.8%

30 - 34 %

22.4%

25 - 29 %

43.9%

+3 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario3 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

Volumen total1,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h15 US$

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by...?

0.3%18d

June 30

-0.5%79%

May 31

-0.3%0%

28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total133 mil US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

Either Tate brother arrested by...?

9.1%18d

June 30

-1.5%14%

April 30

-9.1%0%

March 31

-0.7%0%

28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total5,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026

0.4-0.7%

-0.5%26%

0.8-1.1%

19%

<0.0%

14%

+4 resultados más

28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total1,3 mil US$

Volumen 24h5,6 US$

POLYMARKET

Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?

Sí

50%

24 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total0 US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

Criptoactivos Relacionados

Starmer out before July?

Bank of England decision in June?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

France United Left Primary Winner

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

EU dissolves before 2027?

Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

ITF Guimaraes: Manon Leonard vs Ana Sofia Sanchez

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?

Keir Starmer departure announced?

Will the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026?

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

Macron out by...?

Which UK party will next take a decisive second place in the polls?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027?

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Bank of England decision in July?

Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

X banned in any European country by December 31?

Will Andy Burnham win a majority of the vote in the Makerfield byelection?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will Starmer be in the process of leaving at start of July?

Will Reform UK polling collapse in 2026?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

What will One Nation's support be on the 1st of July 2026?

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by...?

Either Tate brother arrested by...?

Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026

Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?