PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 72%-12.0pt
Calidad del mercado
53 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
320,4 €
Liquidez
320,5 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
26.0% / 30.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
3
Cambio 7d
+13.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
26 jun 26, 17:19 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed.
- Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count.
- Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.