Russia military action against EU country by which date?
0.5 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 18%-0.5pt
Calidad del mercado
71 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
14,4 mil €
Liquidez
59,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
17.0% / 19.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
2
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
19 sept 26, 0:37 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia takes a qualifying military action against an EU member state between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, that directly impacts an EU member state.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Russia.