PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
2027 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Referencia guardada
2027 21%Líder entre 3 opciones
2027 21%Calidad del mercado
67 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
3,1 mil €
Liquidez
18,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
109,6 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
2027Spread
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Comentarios
5
Cambio 7d
-4.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 35 minutos
19 sept 26, 0:37 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
September 30Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · 2027
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which EU country will disqualify a major presidential candidate or a major political party next?
Manifold MarketsEuropean military action against Iran by which date?
PolymarketUS military action against Cuba by which date?
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PolymarketWhat will be the highest level of U.S. military action against Cuba by the end of January 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia takes a qualifying military action against an EU member state between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, that directly impacts an EU member state.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Russia.