PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 72.3%-4.0pt
Calidad del mercado
80 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
55,8 mil €
Liquidez
97,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
26.0% / 29.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
0
Cambio 7d
+5.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
11 ago 26, 9:2030 nov 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and November 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
