PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
December 31 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
Libro recibido (no hora de cotización del mercado): —
Referencia guardada
December 31 27%Líder entre 11 opciones
December 31 27%Calidad del mercado
≤74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
38,6 mil €
Liquidez
56,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
— / —
December 31Spread
—
Comentarios
1,022
Cambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 30 minutos
25 jun 26, 23:23 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
August 15Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
August 31Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
July 15Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
July 21Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
July 24Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
July 27Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
July 31Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
June 30Perdida
September 30Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Profundidad de mercado · December 31
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
Libro recibido (no hora de cotización del mercado): —
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a food shortage related to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz?
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PolymarketIsraeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
PolymarketIsraeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is generally applicable to all commercial flights transiting Iranian airspace (“Tehran FIR”).
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all of Iran or the Tehran FIR; limited cancellations, delays, or partial closures will not qualify.
- A closure which applies generally to commercial aviation across Iranian airspace, with limited exceptions for certain categories of flights, however, will qualify (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted).
- Qualifying previous examples include the February 28, 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace (https://www.iranintl.com/en/202602289115) and the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/).