Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
5.0 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffOriente Medio1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
December 31 · —
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Referencia guardada
December 31 34%Líder entre 4 opciones
December 31 34%Calidad del mercado
≤74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
43,1 mil €
Liquidez
86 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
59,7 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
December 31Spread
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Comentarios
17
Cambio 7d
+4.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 37 minutos
15 sept 26, 21:29 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
October 31Perdida
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Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
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- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
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Profundidad de mercado · December 31
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli Airspace (The Tel Aviv Flight Information Region (FIR)/LLLL) is closed between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying closure occurs when the aviation or governmental authority responsible for overseeing the specified airspace region issues a Notice to Airmen (NOTAM), or other official order under the regulations of the jurisdiction responsible for that airspace region, which generally cancels or suspends commercial aviation across the specified airspace region, and such closure is not excluded under the exclusions provision below.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from the specified airspace region.
- A closure is not disqualified because the order permits limited exceptions, including humanitarian, medical, repatriation, or emergency flights, or select flights authorized by the responsible authority, provided that commercial flights are prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions.
- The following are not qualifying closures: (i) closures due to weather, including volcanic and seismic activity; (ii) closures for holidays or religious observances; (iii) closures planned or announced before Contract Issuance; (iv) closures occurring on a regular cadence whose occurrence was determined before Contract Issuance, even if not announced; (v) closures resulting from the failure or malfunction of air traffic control, navigation, communications, power, or other technical systems; (vi) restrictions applying to aircraft by nationality, state of registry, operator, or ownership rather than to commercial traffic generally; (vii) closures of a subset of the specified airspace region, including geographic sectors and altitude bands; (viii) ground stops, flow restrictions, capacity reductions, or other air traffic management measures that delay or restrict traffic without closing the specified airspace region to commercial aviation; and (ix) warnings, no-fly zones, flight suspensions, or other restrictions imposed by any party other than the aviation or governmental authorities responsible for overseeing the specified airspace region.