PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 18%-3.0ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
9,7 mil €
Liquidez
91,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
7
Cambio 7d
-4.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
15 sept 26, 21:29 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?
PolymarketSaudi airspace closed by which date?
PolymarketIran full airspace closure by which date?
PolymarketIran full airspace closure by which date?
FutuurBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli Airspace (The Tel Aviv Flight Information Region (FIR)/LLLL) is closed between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying closure occurs when the aviation or governmental authority responsible for overseeing the specified airspace region issues a Notice to Airmen (NOTAM), or other official order under the regulations of the jurisdiction responsible for that airspace region, which generally cancels or suspends commercial aviation across the specified airspace region, and such closure is not excluded under the exclusions provision below.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from the specified airspace region.
- A closure is not disqualified because the order permits limited exceptions, including humanitarian, medical, repatriation, or emergency flights, or select flights authorized by the responsible authority, provided that commercial flights are prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions.
- The following are not qualifying closures: (i) closures due to weather, including volcanic and seismic activity; (ii) closures for holidays or religious observances; (iii) closures planned or announced before Contract Issuance; (iv) closures occurring on a regular cadence whose occurrence was determined before Contract Issuance, even if not announced; (v) closures resulting from the failure or malfunction of air traffic control, navigation, communications, power, or other technical systems; (vi) restrictions applying to aircraft by nationality, state of registry, operator, or ownership rather than to commercial traffic generally; (vii) closures of a subset of the specified airspace region, including geographic sectors and altitude bands; (viii) ground stops, flow restrictions, capacity reductions, or other air traffic management measures that delay or restrict traffic without closing the specified airspace region to commercial aviation; and (ix) warnings, no-fly zones, flight suspensions, or other restrictions imposed by any party other than the aviation or governmental authorities responsible for overseeing the specified airspace region.
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)?
- Polymarket cotiza December 31 al 18% a fecha de 23 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)?
- Está previsto que Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli Airspace (The Tel Aviv Flight Information Region (FIR)/LLLL) is closed between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
