PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualDecember 31 46%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
16,8 mil €
Liquidez
242,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
20.0%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
+0.5%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
13 may 26, 3:3531 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
Resultado elegido
December 3146%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
- A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date.
- Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
- Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.