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  • Inicio
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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

One-OffGeopolíticaMiddle East6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
December 31
December 31 6%
Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado

64 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

659,7 €

Liquidez

57,1 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

5.0% / 6.0%

Spread

20.0%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

-0.5%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 minutos

12 ene 26, 20:5131 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
March 31
March 31
0%
April 30
April 30
0%

Resultado elegido

December 316%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8.
  • Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
  • The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

Mercados Relacionados

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

3,8 M €
December 31: 68%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

3,3 M €
July 31: 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

812,4 mil €
June 30: 31%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

4,6 mil €
Sí: 1.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

How long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)

1,9 mil €
3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

750,5 €
Before July: 8%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,663.61+1.88%EthereumETH$1,652.22+1.30%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.89%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.11%XRPXRP$1.12-0.32%BNBBNB$595.32+1.32%

Noticias Relacionadas

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%CoindeskYear-end odds on Israel–Indonesia ties shift in PolymarketBlockchain.NewsUS Sanctions Iran’s Nobitex Crypto Exchange Over Sanctions EvasionBlockchain.News

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8.
  • Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
  • The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.