PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualDecember 31, 5%-0.8%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
48,8 mil €
Liquidez
50,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
5.0% / 5.2%
Spread
4.0%
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
-0.9%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
28 may 25, 22:1631 dic 26, 12:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
Resultado elegido
December 31,5%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify.
- Intentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S.
- MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage.