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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Geopolítica
  3. China x Japan military clash before 2027?
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

One-OffGeopolíticaChina6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 10%
Calidad del mercado

64 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

366,1 €

Liquidez

34 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

9.0% / 10.0%

Spread

11.1%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

+1.0%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 6 minutos

18 nov 25, 15:5031 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes10%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Japan between November 17, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Japanese military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however Japan Coast Guard (JCG) is not.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,777.23+2.12%EthereumETH$1,655.03+1.41%SolanaSOL$65.12+1.41%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.32%XRPXRP$1.11+0.25%BNBBNB$596.09+1.69%

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Japan between November 17, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Japanese military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however Japan Coast Guard (JCG) is not.