KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 24 jul 2026, 23:50 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Probabilidad implícita actualBefore 2027 5%
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
11,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
25.0%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 24 minutos
11 may 26, 16:001 ene 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before 20275%
Tendencia de volumen
$873 jul19d de datos24 jul
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If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
- This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with the Republic of China, accepting an ambassador from the Republic of China, including the entity as an independent country in U.S.
- Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies the Republic of China as an independent and sovereign state.
- Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
- Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
- Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.