KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 22 sept 2026, 2:35 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before 2027 22%
Calidad del mercado
47 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
10,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
2.0% / 7.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
11 may 26, 16:00 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:White House
- This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with the Republic of China, accepting an ambassador from the Republic of China, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies the Republic of China as an independent and sovereign state.
- Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
- Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
- Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.
- Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump recognize Taiwan??
- Kalshi cotiza Before 2027 al 22% a fecha de 22 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump recognize Taiwan??
- Está previsto que Will Trump recognize Taiwan? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump recognize Taiwan??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.