PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 96%+0.3pt
Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
91,6 €
Liquidez
20,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
3.2% / 5.0%
Spread
1.8 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
13
Cambio 7d
+0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
14 ene 26, 19:14 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US x China Military clash before 2027??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US x China Military clash before 2027??
- Está previsto que US x China Military clash before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US x China Military clash before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.