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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Geopolítica
  3. US x China Military clash before 2027?
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

0.5% (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaChina6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 8%+0.0%
Calidad del mercado

52 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

284,6 €

Liquidez

17,2 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

+1.5%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

14 ene 26, 19:1531 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes8%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,723.10+1.67%EthereumETH$1,654.79+0.91%SolanaSOL$64.99+0.74%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.70%XRPXRP$1.11-0.23%BNBBNB$597.79+1.53%

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.