KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Before January 1, 2028 27%Líder entre 3 opciones
Before January 1, 2028 27%Calidad del mercado
41 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Interés abierto
7,3 mil €
Interés abierto medioSpread
6.8 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
7 ene 26, 0:00 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Lai Ching-te visit the United States?
KalshiLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketLai Ching-te impeached by which date?
PolymarketLai Ching-te visits US by which date?
PolymarketWill Lai Ching-te (of the DPP party in Taiwan) still be alive by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketReglas
If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before January 1, 2028
- If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before July 1, 2027
- If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before January 1, 2027
- If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.