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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Lai Ching-te departure announced?
Lai Ching-te departure announced?

Lai Ching-te departure announced?

One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaChina20d
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before July 1, 2026
Before July 1, 2026 1%
Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0,7 €

Liquidez

80,3 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

0.1% / 4.9%

Spread

4800.0%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

7 ene 26, 0:001 jul 26, 14:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Before July 1, 20261%

Reglas

If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.