Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 96%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
10,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
3.7% / 3.8%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
7
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado7 ene 26, 21:0331 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026??
- Está previsto que Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).