KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualBefore Sep 1, 2026 10%+2.3ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
10,4 mil €
Liquidez
287,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
0.7% / 1.4%
Spread
0.7 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
7 abr 26, 0:001 ago 26, 3:59
Tendencias
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before Aug 1, 20261%
Comparar plataformas· Before Sep 1, 2026
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general84% de coincidencia · auto | Alta | 100% | — | 2,8 mil € | 27,5 mil € | hace 16 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta páginaMás activa | Media | 10% | — | 10,4 mil € | 287,1 mil € | hace 16 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
0.3 pts3d
100%
0%
78 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total108,1 mil €
Volumen 24h2,8 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$11.8k2 jul26d de datos27 jul
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If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.