When will Pete Hegseth next be noticably drunk in public as Secretary of Defense?
Política de EE. UU.One-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
He will not be publicly drunk as Secretary of Defense 69.1%Líder entre 7 opciones
He will not be publicly drunk as Secretary of Defense 69.1%Pronosticadores
34
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Cambio 7d
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado29 ene 25, 17:02 UTC1 feb 28, 4:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Will resolve on mainstream news reporting.
- More than one reliable news source has to report on it.
- If the news implies that he was drunk (for instance just saying he was acting odd or unbecoming) and it is clear that he was drunk I will resolve yes.
- If resolution is controversial I'll do a manifold poll