PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualNo change 71%+3.0%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
100 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
15,3 mil €
Liquidez
213,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
70.0% / 71.0%
Spread
1.4%
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+6.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 minutos
17 jun 26, 23:3428 oct 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
No change71%
Comparar plataformas· No change
Ordenado por volumen de 24h| Plataforma | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMás activa | 71% | — | 15,3 mil € | 213,4 mil € | hace 18 minutos | |
 Kalshi | 66% | — | 2,2 € | 19,8 mil € | hace 12 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
13.0%3m
-13.0%66%
8%
18%
+2 resultados más
44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total29,7 mil €
Volumen 24h2,2 €
KALSHIReglas
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$17.5k2 jul7d de datos8 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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FUTUURActivos en estos temas
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The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.