PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No change 69.2%Líder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
13 mil €
Liquidez
1,3 M €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComments
0
Cambio 7d
-0.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
17 jun 26, 23:3428 oct 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Comparacion de fuentes de prediccion
Referencia CoinRithm No change 72% · 2 plataformas · banda de 1 pt
- También disponible en Limitless — Fed Decision in October? · No change 70%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Fed decision in Oct 2026? · Fed maintains rate 72%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026) · H 0 64%
Mercados abiertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1 M €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate+2.0pt66.7%
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt30.4%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,6 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt65.6%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt28.3%
- Cut 25bps-1.0pt2.8%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+2.6pt88.1%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.6pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.3pt2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate71.6%
- Hike 25bps22.6%
- Cut 25bps-1.0pt2.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 224,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.8pt86%
- 1 (2510%
- 2 (50+0.1pt3%
+10 resultados más
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 4.125% at the FOMC meeting ending September 16, 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Fed Decision in October??
- Polymarket cotiza No change al 69% a fecha de 22 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Fed Decision in October??
- Está previsto que Fed Decision in October? se resuelva el 28 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Fed Decision in October??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Fed Decision in October??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Limitless, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera).