Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 66.3%
Pronosticadores
47
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado7 ene 26, 16:06 UTC16 sept 26, 18:00 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc....
- I will consider Polymarket to have guessed correctly if the correct outcome is the most likely Polymarket answer 24 hours before the decision is made.
- Resolves on Dec. 9th after the last fed meeting.
- Reference Market: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1767801675891
Mercados abiertos
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt49.5%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt43.5%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 543,8 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt2%
+10 resultados más
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.9pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.6pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts1%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 7,6 M €
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 66% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026? se resuelva el 16 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc....