KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Fed maintains rate 61%-2.0ptLíder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
895,5 €
Liquidez
29 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
29 sept 25, 14:0027 ene 27, 18:59
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "the named outcome" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparacion de fuentes de prediccion
Mercados abiertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change67.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease+0.5pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 963,2 mil €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate66%
- Hike 25bps31.1%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 123 mil €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+2.0pt87.1%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.6pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts+0.5pt3%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate70.9%
- Hike 25bps22.3%
- Cut 25bps3.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 225 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 28 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.7pt86%
- 1 (2510%
- 2 (50+0.1pt3%
+10 resultados más
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- No change60.6%
- 25 bps increase-0.5pt26.9%
- 25 bps decrease+1.5pt8.7%
+2 resultados más
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed Decision in January?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Bank of Israel decision in August?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Fed decision in Jan 2027??
- Kalshi cotiza Fed maintains rate al 61% a fecha de 23 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Fed decision in Jan 2027??
- Está previsto que Fed decision in Jan 2027? se resuelva el 27 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Fed decision in Jan 2027??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Fed decision in Jan 2027??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket.