KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualExactly 4 cuts 1%+0.1%Líder entre 21 opciones
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
30,6 mil €
Liquidez
3,8 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
0.7% / 0.9%
Spread
28.6%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 minutos
29 sept 25, 14:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Exactly 4 cuts1%
Comparar plataformas· Exactly 0 cuts
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general82% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 85% | — | 48 mil € | 2,2 M € | hace 6 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Media | 83% | — | 30,6 mil € | 3,8 M € | hace 26 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets80% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 53% | — | — | — | hace 21 horas | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets85% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 83% | — | — | — | anteayer | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5m
+1.4%82.8%
-0.9%8.1%
-0.2%2.8%
+6 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario16 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5m
+0.4%85%
9%
+0.1%3%
+10 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total39,4 M €
Volumen 24h48 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5m
53.3%
34.4%
8.5%
+3 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario25 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.4k83.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yeshace 3 d
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yeshace 3 d$1.1k84.6%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityhace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityhace 3 d$1.3k84.8%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityhace 4 d
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityhace 4 d$2.9k99.6%POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Nokristina38hace 4 d
POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Nokristina38hace 4 d$2.8k99.3%POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Noaaronhillhace 5 d
POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Noaaronhillhace 5 d$1.7k20.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Nohace 6 d
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Nohace 6 d$3.4k15.0%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — NoyameteV9hace 7 d
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — NoyameteV9hace 7 d$2.8k79.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yeshace 10 d
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yeshace 10 dTendencia de volumen
$34.8k2 jul25d de datos26 jul
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If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.