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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Fed
  3. Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

7.2% (24h)FedOne-Off6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Exactly 0 cuts
Exactly 0 cuts 71%-7.2%
Líder entre 21 opciones
Calidad del mercado

72 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

175,5 €

Liquidez

23,7 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

71.9% / 75.8%

Spread

5.4%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 2 minutos

29 sept 25, 14:001 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Exactly 5 cuts
Exactly 5 cuts
0%

Resultado elegido

Exactly 0 cuts71%

Reglas

If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
  • If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercados Relacionados

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

155,9 mil €
0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

88,3 mil €
Sí: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

72,2 mil €
Sí: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed decision in Jun 2026?

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

8,3 mil €
Fed maintains rate: 98%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

929,5 €
Cut 25bps: 3%KalshiKALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?

644,9 €
Above 3.75%: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,612.98+1.75%EthereumETH$1,652.45+1.40%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.90%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.09%BNBBNB$595.56+1.31%XRPXRP$1.12-0.25%

Noticias Relacionadas

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Reglas

If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
  • If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.